Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
