Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huddersfield Town in this match.
