Fulham
0 - 0
Derby

Carvalho (61')

Ebosele (60'), Shinnie (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Fulham and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fulham 3-0 Derby County

Having stunned Bournemouth at the weekend, Derby have alleviated a certain degree of pressure ahead of this contest. However, despite being able to play with a greater sense of freedom, it would come as a surprise if Fulham do not cruise to victory in West London. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Derby County
66.28%	21.6%	12.11%

Both teams to score 39.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61%

55.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41%

76.59%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98%

16.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65%

45.35%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.71%

53.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.17%

86.83%

Score Analysis

Fulham 66.27%

Derby County 12.11%

Draw 21.6%

Fulham	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 15.63% 2-0 @ 14.31% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 4% 4-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.44% Total : 66.27%	1-1 @ 9.84% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.6%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 3.1% 0-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.11%