SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
| 49.64% | 27.54% | 22.82% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.45% | 61.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% | 81.4% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.91% | 43.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.64% | 79.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.11% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.07% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.82% |
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