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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell
DL

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
42.55%29.38%28.08%
Both teams to score 42.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.59%64.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.53%83.47%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.17%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.58%
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 42.54%
    Derby County 28.07%
    Draw 29.37%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 14.42%
2-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 7.96%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.99%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.07%

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