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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park
LL

Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds


Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
38.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.84% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.76%
    Leeds United 37.42%
    Draw 23.82%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Blackburn
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Birmingham
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Blackburn
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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