Despite the recent optimism, this is now an important match for Reading if they want to avoid becoming embroiled in a relegation battle. While they have the quality in the final third to turn things around, we are backing Hull to record a second successive win in the space of a few days.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.12) 
