SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Reading |
60.96% ( -0.43) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 16.58% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.4) | 50.47% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.35) | 72.39% ( -0.36) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.01) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.72) | 43.63% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( 0.59) | 79.82% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.96% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.58% |
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