Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
65.45% (![]() | 19.1% (![]() | 15.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% (![]() | 37.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% (![]() | 60.14% (![]() |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.16% (![]() | 10.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.08% (![]() | 34.92% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.58% (![]() | 37.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% (![]() | 74.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 4.49% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 8.86% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.1% | 1-2 @ 4.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.45% |
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