SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.46% ( -1.62) | 25.59% ( -0.11) | 27.95% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( 1.53) | 51.03% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 1.33) | 72.89% ( -1.33) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.08) | 21.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( -0.13) | 55.24% ( 0.13) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( 2.19) | 32.75% ( -2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% ( 2.38) | 69.31% ( -2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.95% |
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