SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
55.35% ( -0.29) | 20.59% ( 0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 66.1% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.01) | 31.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.01) | 52.93% ( 0.01) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.08) | 11.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.51% ( -0.18) | 36.48% ( 0.18) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( 0.17) | 25.26% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( 0.24) | 60.02% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.35% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.06% |
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