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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
25.81% ( 0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.04) | 48.58% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( -0.16) | 52.47% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.14) | 74.14% ( 0.14) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.08) | 35.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0.09) | 71.99% ( 0.09) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.09) | 21.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( -0.13) | 54.72% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.58% |
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