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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
SL

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City

Middlesbrough have found their rhythm in recent matches and should be confident of easing past Swansea at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Swans' season is petering out massively, so we are envisaging a poor performance and defeat for the visitors on Teesside during this Championship clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
49.79% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)43.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)17.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.79%
    Swansea City 26.56%
    Draw 23.65%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 26.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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