SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 60.72% | 23.05% | 16.23% |
| Both teams to score 44.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% | 53.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% | 74.87% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.52% | 47.47% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% | 45.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.43% | 81.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.23% |
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