Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
