SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
61.39% ( -0.39) | 22.32% ( 0.03) | 16.29% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( 0.52) | 50.43% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( 0.46) | 72.36% ( -0.46) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( 0.05) | 15.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( 0.09) | 45.23% ( -0.09) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( 0.8) | 43.99% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( 0.65) | 80.11% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 16.29% |
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