SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
43.11% ( 0.32) | 25.94% ( -0.05) | 30.95% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.11) | 51.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.1) | 72.91% ( -0.1) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 0.2) | 23.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% ( 0.3) | 57.58% ( -0.3) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.13) | 30.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.16) | 66.81% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
