Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
28.84%	30.26%	40.9%

Both teams to score 40.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.23%

66.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.89%

85.11%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36%

40.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77%

77.23%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29%

68.71%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 28.83%

Luton Town 40.89%

Draw 30.26%

Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.83%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.26%	0-1 @ 14.82% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.89%