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WL
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
ML

Watford
1 - 0
Millwall

Sarr (11' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
55.33%26.14%18.53%
Both teams to score 40.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39%60.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01%80.99%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3%55.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.32%
    Millwall 18.53%
    Draw 26.13%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.87%
2-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 4.45%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.53%

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