Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
