SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 47.84% | 27.74% | 24.42% |
| Both teams to score 43.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% | 81.05% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.41% | 60.59% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.74% | 41.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.21% | 77.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.42% |
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