Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Cardiff City |
77.1% | 14.83% | 8.06% |
Both teams to score 45.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% | 38.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.58% | 60.42% |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.85% | 8.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.58% | 50.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.05% | 84.94% |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-0 @ 12.91% 3-0 @ 10.79% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 6.77% 4-1 @ 4.64% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-0 @ 1.42% 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.21% Total : 77.09% | 1-1 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 4.11% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.83% | 0-1 @ 2.81% 1-2 @ 2.42% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 8.06% |
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