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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 6, 2022 at 12pm UK
Anfield
CC

Liverpool
3 - 1
Cardiff

Jota (53'), Minamino (68'), Elliott (76')
Kelleher (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colwill (80')
Vaulks (52')

We said: Liverpool 3-0 Cardiff City

A raft of players out either injured or ineligible makes this an even more daunting encounter than Cardiff would have initially anticipated, and Morison will not be expecting miracles on the Anfield turf. Klopp will certainly shuffle the pack himself, but even in the absence of Salah, Mane and Diaz, we can only envisage the more experienced Reds advancing comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawCardiff City
77.1%14.83%8.06%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86%38.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58%60.42%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.85%8.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.43%28.57%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.58%50.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.05%84.94%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 77.09%
    Cardiff City 8.06%
    Draw 14.83%
LiverpoolDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.91%
3-0 @ 10.79%
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-0 @ 6.77%
4-1 @ 4.64%
5-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.59%
6-0 @ 1.42%
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.09%
1-1 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 4.11%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 14.83%
0-1 @ 2.81%
1-2 @ 2.42%
0-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.06%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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