SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 31.76% | 28% | 40.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% | 58.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% | 33.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.34% | 70.66% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.62% | 64.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.24% |
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