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ML
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
LT

Millwall
0 - 2
Luton


Cooper (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLuton Town
36.29%27.37%36.34%
Both teams to score 49.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17%55.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05%76.94%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52%29.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51%65.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55%29.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55%65.44%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.28%
    Luton Town 36.34%
    Draw 27.36%
MillwallDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.28%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.34%

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