Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
29.9%	27.59%	42.51%

Both teams to score 47.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.19%

57.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.46%

78.54%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42%

71.57%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79%

62.2%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 29.9%

Swansea City 42.5%

Draw 27.58%

Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.9%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.5%