Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
