Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
28.26%	27.92%	43.82%

Both teams to score 45.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.37%

59.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05%

79.95%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89%

37.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1%

73.89%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.4%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 28.26%

Millwall 43.82%

Draw 27.91%

Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.26%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 13.12% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.82%