Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.