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NF
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
The City Ground
ML

Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Mbe Soh (90+2')
Sow (33'), Taylor (67'), Knockaert (90+4')
Ribeiro (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Assombalonga (14'), Saville (50')
Morsy (13'), Howson (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawMiddlesbrough
36.1%27.14%36.76%
Both teams to score 50.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.2%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85%29.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92%65.08%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25%28.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41%64.59%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 36.1%
    Middlesbrough 36.75%
    Draw 27.13%
Nottingham ForestDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.75%

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