Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.