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NL
Championship | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
SL

Norwich
1 - 0
Swansea

Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
37.28%26.98%35.73%
Both teams to score 50.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68%54.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29%75.71%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16%63.84%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%65%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 37.27%
    Swansea City 35.73%
    Draw 26.98%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.25%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.73%


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