Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.34%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
