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BC
Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
SL

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Wells (83' pen.)
Wells (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lowe (51')
Smith (32'), Roberts (80'), Fulton (81'), Grimes (83'), Ayew (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
35%27.29%37.7%
Both teams to score 49.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42%55.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25%76.74%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84%30.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69%66.31%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.28%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35%
    Swansea City 37.7%
    Draw 27.29%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 35%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.7%


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