Although both clubs appear to be on different trajectories, it is West Brom who enter this contest with momentum. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Forest at the City Ground, even if we feel that this encounter will be decided in the closing stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
