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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
SL

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Swansea City

While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
58.74%22.96%18.3%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81%41.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28%77.72%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 58.72%
    Swansea City 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 4-0 West Brom
Monday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 4-4 Swansea
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Derby
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Swansea
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


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