While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Swansea City
58.74%	22.96%	18.3%

Both teams to score 49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11%

49.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12%

71.88%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47%

46.53%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.81%

41.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.28%

77.72%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 58.72%

Swansea City 18.3%

Draw 22.96%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.09% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.3%