Peterborough
2 - 1
Derby

Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Match Report

Darren Ferguson's side hit two goals in stoppage time to win it.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Peterborough United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Derby County
43.6%	27%	29.39%

Both teams to score 49.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.14%

55.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02%

76.98%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57%

25.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.24%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81%

34.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.11%

70.88%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 43.6%

Derby County 29.39%

Draw 27%

Peterborough United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.39%