SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.4% ( 0.98) | 22.28% ( -0.15) | 26.32% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 62.31% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( 0.01) | 37.47% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( 0.01) | 59.69% ( -0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( 0.33) | 14.79% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.94% ( 0.63) | 43.06% ( -0.63) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.58) | 26.87% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -0.77) | 62.18% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.32% |
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