SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sutton United |
57.36% ( -0.17) | 21.15% ( -0.01) | 21.49% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.59% ( 0.34) | 37.41% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.37% ( 0.36) | 59.64% ( -0.36) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( 0.06) | 12.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.66% ( 0.12) | 39.34% ( -0.11) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.37) | 30.71% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% ( 0.43) | 66.97% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 21.49% |
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