Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
