Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.