Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
