SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Oxford United |
46.1% ( 0.12) | 27.27% ( -0.22) | 26.63% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% ( 0.84) | 58.16% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( 0.65) | 78.82% ( -0.65) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.44) | 25.21% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0.6) | 59.95% ( -0.6) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.55) | 37.65% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( 0.53) | 74.43% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.63% |
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