SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Oxford United |
45.82% ( 1.04) | 25.3% ( -0.08) | 28.88% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( -0.14) | 49.33% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.13) | 71.38% ( 0.13) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.41) | 21.53% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.63) | 54.6% ( -0.63) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.77) | 31.17% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( -0.9) | 67.51% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.88% |
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