SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
33.77% ( 0.06) | 26.67% ( -0.07) | 39.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% ( 0.31) | 53.24% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( 0.26) | 74.8% ( -0.26) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.19) | 29.79% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.23) | 65.86% ( -0.23) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.15) | 26.35% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.2) | 61.5% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.55% |
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