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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 1pm UK
The Den
OU

Millwall
0 - 1
Oxford Utd

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (57')
Brannagan (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Oxford United

Oxford have enjoyed the benefits of the new manager bounce, having recorded back-to-back home wins in Rowett's first two matches in charge. However, the U's will now face a Millwall side who will be hoping to experience their own new manager bounce, and with that in mind, we think that the visitors will have to settle for a share of the spoils in Wednesday's away clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawOxford United
54.64% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07) 26.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.01% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 41.06% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.119 0.12)61.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (0.09 0.09)81.07% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)56.2% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05% (0.171 0.17)46.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (0.129 0.13)82.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 54.63%
    Oxford United 19.01%
    Draw 26.33%
MillwallDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 15.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.36% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Millwall
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship


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