SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.26% ( 0.62) | 26.74% ( 0.2) | 27% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( -1.22) | 56.04% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -1) | 77.12% ( 1) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.23) | 24.2% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( -0.33) | 58.53% ( 0.33) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( -1.33) | 36.18% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( -1.37) | 72.97% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.91% Total : 27% |
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