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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.33% ( -0.07) | 26.81% ( 0.03) | 26.85% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.07) | 56.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( -0.06) | 77.41% ( 0.06) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.06) | 24.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( -0.09) | 58.7% ( 0.09) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( -0.01) | 36.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% ( -0.01) | 73.29% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.86% |
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