Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
32.1% ( -0.26) | 27.89% ( -0.11) | 40.02% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.74% ( 0.34) | 58.26% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.11% ( 0.27) | 78.89% ( -0.26) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -0) | 33.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( -0.01) | 70.11% ( 0.01) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 0.38) | 28.47% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( 0.47) | 64.23% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.02% |
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