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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
36.68% ( -0.45) | 26.31% ( -0.13) | 37% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.55) | 51.51% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( 0.47) | 73.31% ( -0.48) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 0) | 62.57% ( -0.01) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.59) | 26.98% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( 0.77) | 62.33% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.08% Total : 37% |
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