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QL
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
ML

QPR
2 - 0
Millwall

Chair (27'), Armstrong (85')
Cifuentes (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (32'), Flemming (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Millwall

QPR have been woeful at Loftus Road this season and in recent weeks especially, but we feel that the likes of Chair and Willock could be able to fire the hosts to victory this weekend. Millwall have lost back-to-back games over the past fortnight, and we believe that their losing run will continue in a highly-anticipated London derby on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
28.97% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.89%44.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)55.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.71%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 28.97%
    Millwall 44.13%
    Draw 26.88%
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 QPR
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship


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