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QL
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
WL

QPR
1 - 2
Watford

Dykes (77')
Field (5'), Paal (23'), Colback (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Livermore (60', 65')
Livermore (20'), Hoedt (45'), Dele-Bashiru (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Watford

With both clubs having failed to impress of late, any result is possible, and QPR will hope that playing at home will help their cause. Nevertheless, we have to back Watford who will feel that they have a bit of momentum in their favour after the manner of their FA Cup win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
29.76% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.1% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 44.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.059000000000005 0.06)52.2% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.020999999999997 0.02)68.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.055999999999997 0.06)57.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 29.76%
    Watford 44.13%
    Draw 26.1%
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 QPR
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 QPR
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship


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